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Gross domestic product (GDP):It is a measurement of the total value of goods and services produced in a country during a specific period of time. Governments all over the globe check their economic health with the help of this measurement. It is of two types. One is real GDP, and another is nominal GDP. Nominal GDP:- This GDP is arrived at without factoring in inflation, whereas real GDP is gauged after adjusting for inflation. Real GDP gives a value close to the pragmatic economy. It can be derived by using a constant base year’s price. As the nominal GDP is calculated by multiplying current prices by the total value of goods and services, if they increase or decrease, we may not get the correct output of goods and services; either it may result in an inflated one or a deflated one, based on the value of the prices of goods and services. Real GDP Formula |
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Example -1 |
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In India, the base
year for calculating real GDP is now 2011–12. Previously, it was 2004–05. |
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Example No:1 |
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Base Year |
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Basket of goods |
FY-2011-12 |
FY-20-21 |
FY-21-22 |
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Price
/quantities(qtys) |
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Fruits |
RS.50/50 qtys |
Rs.100/70qtys |
Rs.120/65qtys |
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Vegetables |
RS.25/100 qtys |
RS.50/120 qtys |
RS.70/100 qtys |
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cereals |
RS.30 per kg/50 kgs |
RS.60 per kg/100 kgs |
RS.70 per kg (110
kg) |
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Hence, nominal GDP
is gauged as below: |
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For Base Financial
Year 2011-12 |
For FY-20-21 |
For FY-21-22 |
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Fruits |
Rs.2500(i.e.,Rs.50*50
qtys) |
Rs.7000(i.e.,Rs.100*70
qtys) |
Rs.7800(i.e.,Rs.120*65qtys) |
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Vegetables |
Rs.2500(i.e.,Rs.25*100
qtys) |
Rs.6000(i.e.,Rs.50*120
qtys) |
Rs.7000(i.e.,Rs.70*100
qtys) |
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cereals |
Rs.1500(Rs.30*5o
kgs) |
Rs.6000(i.e.,Rs.60*100
Kgs) |
Rs.7700(i.e.,Rs.70*110
Kgs) |
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Whereas the value of
final goods and services, which is real GDP, is estimated by keeping the base
financial year's price as a constant price and multiplying the same constant
price with the quantities of goods of the respective financial years as
follows: |
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For Base Financial
Year 2011-12 |
For FY-20-21 |
For FY-21-22 |
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Fruits |
Rs.2500(i.e.,Rs.50*50
qtys) |
Rs.3500(i.e.,Rs.50*70
qtys) |
Rs.3250(i.e.,Rs.50*65qtys) |
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Vegetables |
Rs.2500(i.e.,Rs.25*100
qtys) |
Rs.3000(i.e.,Rs.25*120
qtys) |
Rs.2500(i.e.,Rs.25*100
qtys) |
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cereals |
Rs.1500(Rs.30*5o
kgs) |
Rs.3000(i.e.,Rs.30*100
Kgs) |
Rs.3300(i.e.,Rs.30*110
Kgs) |
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Usually, the nominal
GDP is greater than the real GDP. Why? Because the nominal GDP doesn't remove
inflation. |
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We need to divide
nominal GDP with real GDP to find the GDP deflator, i.e., GDP deflator =
nominal GDP / real GDP. |
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Calculation of the
GDP deflator based on the above example |
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For FY-20-21 |
For FY-21-22 |
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Fruits |
7000/3500= 2.0 |
7800/3250=2.4 |
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Vegetables |
6000/3000=2.0 |
7000/2500=2.8 |
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cereals |
6000/3000=2.0 |
7700/3300=2.33 |
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Example-2 |
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In India, the
Finance Ministry recently announced that India's GDP will reach 3.75 trillion
dollars in 2023 in current price terms, up from around 2 trillion dollars in
2014. |
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Since it was
mentioned that "in current price terms," we can come to the
conclusion that the announced GDP is a nominal GDP. |
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The website,
https://www.inflationtool.com/rates/india, mentions that India's 10-ate will
be year average inflation rate is at 5.92% in 2022. averaged from
the year 2013 onwards |
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It also gives the
latest annual inflation rate, which stands at 5.09% and is estimated from the
values of the Consumer Price Index for the previous 12 months ending in April
2023. |
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Hence, when nominal
GDP is 3.75 trillion dollars in the year 2023, the year 2014 can be
considered the base year as per the above-mentioned Finance Ministry's
announcement for a GDP of 2 trillion dollars. |
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Thus, the GDP
deflator and real GDP for the 2023 year can be estimated as below: |
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Nominal GDP during
2023 |
3.75 trillion
dollars |
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Real GDP as per base
year 2014 |
2 trillion dollars |
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Average inflation
rate |
5.92% |
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Deflator |
Nominal GDP / Real
GDP = 3.75/2 = 1.875 |
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Real GDP |
Nominal GDP/Deflator
= 3.75/1.875 = 2 trillion $ |
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References:- |
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1 |
https://www.educba.com/real-gdp-formula/ |
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2 |
Rhttps://www.businesstoday.in/latest/economy/story/indias-gdp-crosses-3-trillion-mark-hits-375-tn-in-2023-finance-ministry-385165-2023-06-12 |
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3 |
https://www.inflationtool.com/rates/india |
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4 |
https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/IND/india/gdp-gross-domestic-product |
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Saturday, June 17, 2023
Gross Demostic Product (GDP)
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